The median Yarrabilba house went from $550,000 in 2022 to $885,000 in the first half of 2026. Up 61% in four years. And nearly half the house lots are under 400 square metres.
A while back I was pulling sales numbers on the master-planned estates south of Brisbane, and Yarrabilba kept doing something the others didnt. Every number that screams hot market was there. And sitting right beside those, the early signs of a market starting to strain. So this is the honest version, built from 1,935 Yarrabilba sales in our database. No brochure gloss.
The quick facts
If you just googled the postcode, here you go.
| Fact | Answer |
|---|---|
| Postcode | 4207 |
| Council (LGA) | Logan City Council |
| Planning status | Priority Development Area, declared 8 October 2010 |
| Median house price | $850,000 (house sales only, 12 months to July 2026) |
| Median advertised rent | $650 per week (advertised rentals, 12 months) |
| Median house lot | 400 square metres |
That Priority Development Area line matters more than it looks. More on it further down, because it explains something that confuses nearly everyone who researches this suburb properly.
The price ladder: $550k to $885k in four years
| Window | Median house price |
|---|---|
| Calendar year 2022 | $550,000 |
| 12 months to July 2025 | $705,000 |
| 12 months to July 2026 | $850,000 |
| First half of 2026 | $885,000 |
Thats a 61% climb in four years, and it is still accelerating: the last 12 months alone were up 20.6% on the year before. The chart makes the shape hard to miss, nothing happened through 2023, then the line bends in mid-2024 and doesnt look back. The 2026 half-year figure of $885,000 rests on a part-year sample, so treat it as direction rather than gospel. The direction is not subtle though.
Growth like that pulls buyers in on momentum alone. Which is exactly when you should slow down and read the rest of the numbers.
The small-lot reality
Heres the one the sales brochures dont lead with. The median house lot in Yarrabilba is 400 square metres, and 43.8% of house lots in our database are under 400.
Nearly half.
A 400 square metre lot with a modern house on it leaves you a courtyard, not a backyard. Thats not automatically bad, plenty of buyers dont want to mow. But if you are picturing a trampoline and a shed and maybe a pool one day, measure the block before you fall for the kitchen. And if you are buying as an investment, understand that when almost every lot is the same size, your house competes with a street full of near-identical ones every time you sell or lease.
Check the lot size and flood mapping on any Queensland address, free.
Hot market, cracking at the edges
The median Yarrabilba house sold in 21 days over the last 12 months. Genuinely fast.
But the same 12 months of listing data shows 33 listings withdrawn without ever selling. Thats a 7.8% quiet failure rate, withdrawn as a share of everything that either sold or gave up. On top of that, 31 listings took a price cut along the way.
Quiet failure is the number I watch most, because it never shows up in headline stats. A withdrawn listing just vanishes, and the median sale price only counts the winners. So a suburb can post a 21-day median at the exact same time some sellers are cutting their price and others are giving up entirely. Both things are true in Yarrabilba right now. A hot market, with cracks forming at the edges.
If you are buying here, that 7.8% is quietly good news. Some sellers are not getting their number. Those are the ones worth negotiating with.
Rent and yield
Median advertised rent is $650 per week, from 201 rental listings over 12 months. Against the $850,000 median house price thats a gross yield of roughly 4.0%.
Gross, mind you. Rates, insurance, management and maintenance all come out before you see a dollar. A 4.0% gross yield on a suburb thats already run 61% in four years is a bet on the growth continuing, not an income play.
Does Yarrabilba flood?
Of the 2,038 Yarrabilba properties we track, 52 intersect mapped flood extents. Thats 2.6%.
So the honest answer is mostly no, but not never. The low percentage reflects an estate engineered with drainage in mind. It does not mean every street is clear, and the difference between the dry lot and its flood-mapped neighbour wont show up in the listing photos. Flood is a property-level question, so check the specific address before you sign anything.
What the land underneath is actually worth
The Valuer-General has 5,563 rateable lots in Yarrabilba, with a median site value of $285,000 (October 2024 valuation). Put that against the $850,000 median house price and the land is roughly 34% of what you are paying. The rest is the building.
Why care? Land is the part that historically appreciates, buildings wear out. In a new estate you are paying mostly for a new house, so the growth story depends on the whole suburb maturing around you. The 61% run says that story has been working so far. The land ratio says a lot of the price is still riding on the buildings being new.
Why the council DA feed looks empty here
Go digging in Logan City Council's development application register for Yarrabilba and you will find almost nothing. Our database holds just 22 council DAs for the entire suburb. Against 5,563 rateable lots, that looks broken.
It isnt. Yarrabilba was declared a Priority Development Area on 8 October 2010, and inside a PDA, development is assessed by Economic Development Queensland instead of the council. The usual council DA trail we rely on in most suburbs simply doesnt exist here. Different front door, different paperwork.
I am telling you this because plenty of research would happily show you "22 development applications" and let you conclude nothing is happening. The opposite is true, an entire master-planned community is being built, its just approved through a channel most suburb data never touches. When a number looks weirdly low, ask who keeps the record before you trust it.
So, is Yarrabilba a good suburb?
Depends what you are buying it for, and I mean that literally rather than as a cop-out.
The growth has been real: 61% in four years, and homes still selling in a median of 21 days. Rent demand is there at $650 a week. Flood exposure is low at 2.6% of tracked properties.
Now the other side of the ledger. Nearly half the lots are under 400 square metres, so you are buying a compact product with plenty of identical competition. Land is only about a third of the price. And 7.8% of listings quietly failed to sell in the last year, which is the first number I would recheck in six months.
Crime is one I'll point you to rather than summarise here. QPS-recorded offences for the Yarrabilba area are mapped on our free suburb page, grouped by offence type, current to mid June 2026. Go read the mix yourself rather than taking one scary number from a forum. And anyone quoting you a confident single crime score for a suburb this new, ask them where it came from.
Every suburb number in this post is free to check yourself on propertyxray.com.au, the free data hub for QLD properties I run. Look up the specific address, not just the suburb. In an estate where the lots all look the same on paper, the address-level stuff (flood mapping, actual lot size) is where the real differences hide.
Look up any Yarrabilba address, free.
Quick questions people actually search
What is Yarrabilba's postcode?
4207.
Which council is Yarrabilba in?
Logan City Council. But because Yarrabilba is a Priority Development Area (declared 8 October 2010), development inside it is assessed by Economic Development Queensland rather than the council.
Does Yarrabilba flood?
Mostly no. 52 of the 2,038 properties we track there (2.6%) intersect mapped flood extents. Check the individual address, not the suburb average.
Are the blocks small in Yarrabilba?
Yes, by traditional standards. The median house lot is 400 square metres and 43.8% of house lots are under 400.
Methodology
- Sales: 1,935 Yarrabilba sales in our database. All price medians are house sales only, with the window stated next to each figure. The 2026 half-year median rests on a part-year sample.
- Listings: days on market, price cuts and withdrawn counts come from 12 months of tracked listings. Withdrawn without selling means the listing was removed and no sale was recorded.
- Rent: median advertised rent from 201 rental listings over 12 months. Asking rents, not signed leases.
- Land values: Queensland Valuer-General site values, October 2024 vintage, 5,563 rateable lots. Site value is the land only, as if vacant.
- Flood: mapped flood extents intersected with the 2,038 Yarrabilba properties we track. Modelled extent, not a prediction for any single event.
- Development applications: Logan City Council's public DA register. EDQ-assessed PDA development does not appear in it.
- Crime: on our suburb page, mapped by area and grouped by offence type. We dont grade suburbs on it; read the mix and decide what matters for your street.
Companion reads: our data pieces on what actually happens when you subdivide a block in Queensland and Brisbane's worst flood-risk streets run the same honest-numbers treatment.