PROPERTY X-RAY
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Property X·Ray presents The Deal Radar
The Deal Radar.

Brisbane property market this week: price cuts, days on market and long-sitters

Brisbane South-West · watched daily, verified facts only

ISSUE #014 · FRI 9 OCT - THU 15 OCT 2026
349
price cuts
141
suburbs watched
-18.2%
biggest cut
114
longest days listed

Sellers move prices quietly. Portals show you today's ask and nothing else, and reset the day counter on every relist. We watch every listing in the corridor daily and keep the history, so you can see who moved, by how much, and how long they have really been waiting. Withdrawn homes, the ones that resurface later as off-market properties, stay on our record too. No opinions. Just the record.

Get the full Radar first.

One email every Friday: the complete list of the week's cuts, plus the Deadline Watch, the Off-Market Watch (homes you will not find advertised), and what to watch next week. The history the portals delete. Free.

No spam, no selling your address, unsubscribe anytime.
📊 How we rank

The #1 is not always the biggest cut. We score every home on a few signals, then rank by that score. The price cut is the biggest thing we weigh, but how long it has sat, the land, and what our X-Ray finds all push a home up or down. You are seeing the best deal, not just the steepest discount.

$1,100,000 → Offers over $900,000
Price cut114 days listed🔥 our pick of the week 4 bed 2 bath 2 car 323 m²

Listed 24 June, priced on 6 July and cut once on 22 July. The price came off on 24 August, and it came back $200,000 lower on 14 October. The biggest cut of the week.

flood ✓ bushfire ✓ crime – easement ✓ covenant ✓

The X-Ray: Nothing flagged on the layers we hold.

$599,000 → OFFERS ABOVE $499k
Price cut94 days listed 2 bed 1 bath 2 car

Listed 14 July and cut by 25 July. It went to auction wording in August, the ad read “EMERGENCY SALE - MUST GO!” from 18 September, and it came back $100,000 lower on 9 October.

flood ✓ bushfire ✓ crime – easement ✓ covenant ✓

The X-Ray: Nothing flagged on the layers we hold.

$580,000 → Price Range $490,000. to $520,000.
Price cut65 days listed 1 bed 1 bath 0 car 807 m²

Listed 12 August and given a price range on 24 August. On 12 October the whole range came down, $90,000 off the bottom and $80,000 off the top.

flood ✓ bushfire ✓ crime – easement ✓ covenant ✓

The X-Ray: Nothing flagged on the layers we hold.

$825,000 → $690,000 + OFFERS
Price cut104 days listed 2 bed 1 bath 2 car 607 m²

Listed 4 July. The price came off at the end of August for offers, then auction wording through September. On 12 October it showed a price again, $135,000 lower.

flood RISK bushfire ✓ crime RISK easement ✓ covenant ✓

The X-Ray: Our layers flag flood on this block. Worth a look before you offer. The suburb also runs above the Brisbane typical for recorded crime.

$899,000 → PRICE DROP - $749,990
Price cut10 days listed 4 bed 1 bath 2 car 627 m²

Listed 6 October and cut $149,010 nine days later, on 15 October.

flood ✓ bushfire ✓ crime RISK easement ✓ covenant ✓

The X-Ray: Nothing flagged on the block itself. The suburb runs above the Brisbane typical for recorded crime.

🌱 Beyond the corridor — Moreton Bay and IpswichFive clean cuts just outside our Brisbane count, on the same rules. Subscribers get five; here are three.
4 Walden Street, Redbank Plains
$1,049,000 → OFFERS OVER $879,000 · 81 days
-16.2%
48 Zephyr Street, Griffin
$1,089,000 → Offers Over $929,000 · 153 days
-14.7%
17 Murrawong Street, Bellara
$1,050,000 → Offers over $899,000 · 93 days
-14.4%
⏱ Deadline watch

105 Kennedy Terrace, Paddington: “Expression of Interest by 26 August” after 78 days.

155 Old Logan Village Road, Waterford: “Last Chance! $980,000+ by 2nd Sep 5pm” after 104 days.

16 Woodrow Place, Marsden: “OFFERS CLOSING WEDNESDAY 30TH SEPTEMBER 4PM” after 91 days.

Four advertisements still naming a date that has already gone. Three are below and the fourth went to subscribers. 105 Kennedy Terrace is 51 days past its date and has been on this list every week since issue 10. 155 Old Logan Village Road is 44 days past its last chance, and 16 Woodrow Place is new to the list, 16 days past. Of last week’s four, 82 Barbaralla Drive has not been seen since 10 October.

Coming soon: the live Radar tableEvery cut, every withdrawal, filterable by suburb, any time you like. In the lab now.
+ 17 more addressesThe rest of the corridor, the whole Moreton Bay + Ipswich growth belt, and five off-market leads with addresses went to email subscribers first. Get yours below →
Where are they now

175 Russell Street, Cleveland (issue #006): Sold on 8 October. It left the market in September, came back on 1 October and sold a week later.

18 Shonagh Court, Birkdale (issue #010): Sold on 8 October, 43 days after it was listed.

16 Flower Street, Woolloongabba (issue #009): Sold. Last week the ad read “Sold by Sam” and we held off. The sale is now on our record, dated 21 September.

12 Robertson Place, Fig Tree Pocket (issue #008): Withdrawn. Last seen on 30 September at $4,000,000-$4,500,000, 106 days after it was listed, with no sale on its record.

44 Adelong Road, Shailer Park (issue #009): Withdrawn. Last seen on 26 September at offers over $1.7m, with no sale on its record.

136 Norman Avenue, Norman Park (issue #011): Under contract. The ad changed to “Under Contract” on 13 October.

2 Carramar Street, Loganlea (issue #010): Cut again on 14 October, $50,000 off, to $749,000+.

24 Fernlea Avenue, Scarborough (issue #012): Its offers day, Saturday 10 October, came and went. By 13 October the ad was back to $2,150,000+.

Three past picks sold, each with a dated sale on our record. Two homes off since late September are now called withdrawn. Of last week’s twelve, eleven are still advertised and none has cut again. The twelfth, 5 Watkinsia Court, Regents Park, has not shown in our nightly read since 10 October, and we will say why once we know. 4 Bayswood Circuit, 15 John Street and 5 Pigeon Court left the market this week and wait their turn.

The Scorecard

We grade ourselves.

Every Friday we predict next week's market, then grade last week's predictions right here. Every number comes from Property X-Ray's own tracking data.

✗The Brisbane Cut Count lands between 248 and 304 (within 10% of this week’s 276) (actual: 349)
✗Thornlands stays in the top 5 cut suburbs (actual: 4 cuts, outside the top 5)
Next week's predictions
?The Brisbane Cut Count lands between 314 and 384 (within 10% of this week’s 349)
?Redland Bay stays in the top 5 cut suburbs
Season: Practice 0/2 (4 pending) · Live 15/24 (2 pending)

Two graded this week, both of issue 13’s calls, about the week of 9 to 15 October, and both missed. The count ran well past the band, and Thornlands went from first to 4 cuts. The two new ones are about the week that started today, Friday 16 October to Thursday 22 October, and we grade them in issue 15.

🤫 Off-Market Watch

Found in the dark.

We wait two weeks before we call a home withdrawn, because most that vanish are back within days. Of the Brisbane homes that left the market between 25 September and 1 October, 61 were withdrawn with no sale and 107 have a sale on record so far. Some of them are below, the rest went to subscribers, and one that came back for less is here too.

1 Fernberg Road, Paddington Advertised for 153 days from 29 April. Priced at $1,300,000+ on 29 July, then called best offers by 14 September, a date that sat on our deadline watch. The day after, the ad read “Contact Agent”. Last seen on 29 September, and no sale on its record.

5 Breeza Street, Durack Advertised for 135 days from 14 May, starting with an offers close on 31 May. It asked $1.2m+ in July and $1.15m+ from 7 September, then named a new close. We last saw it on 26 September, two days before that close, and no sale on its record.

★2 Mount Barney Crescent, Algester The boomerang. Advertised for 65 days from 16 July. Gone on 19 September, then back on 13 October as a new listing, $50,000 lower.

Get the full Radar first.

One email every Friday: the complete list of the week's cuts, plus the Deadline Watch, the Off-Market Watch (homes you will not find advertised), and what to watch next week. The history the portals delete. Free.

No spam, no selling your address, unsubscribe anytime.

How this works (and why you can check everything)

  1. We watch every listing in the corridor daily and keep the price history the portals overwrite. When an asking price moves or a listing sits long, it shows up here.
  2. Facts only. Every number above is from the public listing record. Click through and verify it yourself on the live listing.
  3. The free X-Ray is the homework. A cheap-looking price sometimes has a reason: flood, what's approved next door, an easement or covenant on the title. Our free report covers the flood and what's nearby for any QLD address, and the full report adds the title checks.
  4. Nothing here is advice. We show the record. What it means for you is your call, or your professional adviser's.

Straight answers, from the record

Is the Brisbane property market cooling right now?

"Cooling" is not one number, it is a spread. This week our tracker logged 349 asking-price moves across the 141 Brisbane South-West suburbs we watch; the biggest single cut was -18.2%, while most suburbs recorded no cut at all. A price cut is a vendor blinking. A withdrawal is a vendor walking away without blinking, and we count both, suburb by suburb, in the list above. Then we put our own name on the line: every Friday the Scorecard below predicts next week's Cut Count and grades last week's call in public, hits and misses alike. That is our answer to "is it cooling": counted, dated, linked and graded. Never vibes.

How do I find off-market properties in Brisbane?

The honest answer: they are hard to find, because they are not advertised. PXR uses an array of signals, aggregated from the data in our database, to bring you this unique list of opportunities. Each Friday issue reveals a few of them. If we surface one you like, try dropping a letter in the letterbox, or get in touch with the potential seller.

How long has a house really been on the market?

Portals restart the day counter when a home is relisted. We measure days on market from the first time our tracker saw the listing, so our counts are minimums that survive the relist reset. The longest sitter this issue: 114 days.

Where does this Brisbane property market data come from?

From publicly available listing information, the same pages any buyer can read. When a price changes or a listing disappears, the public page moves on; we keep what it said before. Every figure here links to the live listing so you can check it yourself. Property X-Ray is a free data hub for Queensland properties.

Past issues

Coming soon: the Moreton Bay + Ipswich growth-corridor edition, and more of the history nobody else keeps.