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Property X·Ray presents The Deal Radar
The Deal Radar.
Brisbane property market, Fri 2 Oct - Thu 8 Oct 2026: price cuts, days on market and long-sitters
Brisbane South-West · watched daily, verified facts only
ISSUE #013 · FRI 2 OCT - THU 8 OCT 2026
276
price cuts
120
suburbs watched
-14.9%
biggest cut
155
longest days listed
Sellers move prices quietly. Portals show you today's ask and nothing else, and reset the day counter on every relist. We watch every listing in the corridor daily and keep the history, so you can see who moved, by how much, and how long they have really been waiting. No opinions. Just the record.
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One email every Friday: the complete list of the week's cuts, plus the Deadline Watch, the Off-Market Watch (homes you will not find advertised), and what to watch next week. The history the portals delete. Free.
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Listed 7 July with a best-offer date in July, then all offers. Priced on 12 August, it went to auction wording on 10 September and came back $100,000 lower by 2 October.
Listed 7 May. A price went on the ad on 24 August and came off again on 4 September. It came back $95,000 lower by 7 October, five months after it was listed.
🌱 Beyond the corridor — Moreton Bay and IpswichFive clean cuts just outside our Brisbane count, on the same rules. Subscribers get five; here are three.
92 Panorama Drive, Springfield $1,175,000 → NOW $995,000 We are READY TO SELL! · 52 days
-15.3%
13 Treedale Street, Morayfield $799,000 → PRICE REDUCTION - OFFERS OVER $699,000 · 97 days
-12.5%
11 Belle Air Drive, Bellmere $1,117,000 → $986,000 Negotiable · 39 days
Four advertisements still naming a date that has already gone. Three are below and the fourth went to subscribers. 105 Kennedy Terrace is 44 days past its date and has been on this list since issue 10. 155 Old Logan Village Road is 37 days past its last chance, and 82 Barbaralla Drive is 20 days past. Of last week’s four, 34 Bellerose Street, The Gap sold on 2 October.
Coming soon: the live Radar tableEvery cut, every withdrawal, filterable by suburb, any time you like. In the lab now.
109 Channel Street, Russell Island (issue #008): Sold on 8 October, 96 days after it was listed.
8 Karalee Street, Sunnybank (issue #010): Sold on 6 October, 71 days after it was listed.
14 Goldwyn Street, McDowall (issue #010): Sold on 7 October, 90 days after it was listed.
20 Frederick Street, Wellington Point (issue #010): Sold on 7 October, 54 days after it was listed and a week after its last cut.
16 Flower Street, Woolloongabba (issue #009): The ad changed to “Sold by Sam” on 8 October. The sale is not on our record yet, so we will confirm it before we call it.
54 Sportsground Street, Redcliffe (issue #007): Withdrawn. Last seen on 19 September at offers over $1,200,000, and 20 days later there is no sale on its record.
6A Cole Street, Scarborough (issue #005): Withdrawn. Last seen on 23 September at offers over $1,495,000, with no sale on its record.
46 Oxford Place, Fitzgibbon (issue #007): Back on the market. It left on 19 September and came back as a new listing on 6 October, and the ad reads “Price By Negotiation”.
61 Centaur Street, Kippa-Ring (issue #006): Cut again by 6 October, $100,000 off, to offers over $1,050,000.
152 Queensport Road, Murarrie (issue #011): Cut $40,000 by 3 October, then the price came off by 7 October. The ad now reads “FOR SALE”.
9 Baxton Place, Shailer Park (issue #004): Offers were due 7 October. The next day the ad changed to “By Negotiation”.
24 Fernlea Avenue, Scarborough (issue #012): The price came off by 8 October, and the ad now reads “Presenting Offers Saturday 5pm 10th October”.
15 John Street, Thorneside (issue #009): The ad went from “IMMEDIATE SALE” to “CONTACT AGENT” by 7 October.
Four past picks sold this week, each with a dated sale on our record. Two homes off since September are now called withdrawn, and a third, 46 Oxford Place, came back as a new listing instead. All twelve from last week are still for sale, and none has cut again. 44 Adelong Road and 12 Robertson Place left later in September and wait their turn.
The Scorecard
We grade ourselves.
Every Friday we predict next week's market, then grade last week's predictions right here. Every number comes from Property X-Ray's own tracking data.
🎯
✓The Brisbane Cut Count lands between 256 and 314 (within 10% of this week’s 285) (actual: 276)
✓Thornlands stays in the top 5 cut suburbs (actual: 1st, on 12 cuts)
Next week's predictions
?The Brisbane Cut Count lands between 248 and 304 (within 10% of this week’s 276)
?Thornlands stays in the top 5 cut suburbs
Season: Practice 0/2 (4 pending) · Live 15/22 (2 pending)
Two graded this week, both of issue 12’s calls, about the week of 2 to 8 October, and both hit. The two new ones are about the week that started today, Friday 9 October to Thursday 15 October, and we grade them in issue 14. Thornlands led again, on 12 cuts.
🤫 Off-Market Watch
Found in the dark.
🔦
We wait two weeks before we call a home withdrawn, because most that vanish are back within days. Of the Brisbane homes that left the market between 18 and 24 September, 67 were withdrawn with no sale and 144 have a sale on record so far. Some of them are below, the rest went to subscribers, and one that did come back is here too.
last asked Offers over $899k · 121 days observed · Advertised for 121 days from 26 May. The ad said “Must be Sold” in early July, asked $949,000 later that month, then read “Owner's committed elsewhere!” before it settled at $899k on 12 August. Last seen on 24 September.
last asked $850,000+ MUST SELL THIS WEEK!! · 61 days observed · Advertised for 61 days from 20 July. It came down from $970k+ in mid August to $888,000 by 8 September, and on 16 September the ad read “MUST SELL THIS WEEK!!”. Last seen three days later, and no sale on its record.
last asked $1,200,000 - Inspect Today! · 95 days observed · The boomerang. Advertised for 95 days from 9 June. Gone on 12 September, then back on 3 October as a new listing that reads “$1.1M Plus Buyers!”.
One email every Friday: the complete list of the week's cuts, plus the Deadline Watch, the Off-Market Watch (homes you will not find advertised), and what to watch next week. The history the portals delete. Free.
No spam, no selling your address, unsubscribe anytime.
How this works (and why you can check everything)
We watch every listing in the corridor daily and keep the price history the portals overwrite. When an asking price moves or a listing sits long, it shows up here.
Facts only. Every number above is from the public listing record as observed that week.
The free X-Ray is the homework. A cheap-looking price sometimes has a reason: flood, what's approved next door, an easement or covenant on the title. Our free report covers the flood and what's nearby for any QLD address, and the full report adds the title checks.
Nothing here is advice. We show the record. What it means for you is your call, or your professional adviser's.