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Property X·Ray presents The Deal Radar
The Deal Radar.
Brisbane property market, Fri 23 Oct - Thu 29 Oct 2026: price cuts, days on market and long-sitters
Brisbane South-West · watched daily, verified facts only
ISSUE #016 · FRI 23 OCT - THU 29 OCT 2026
356
price cuts
137
suburbs watched
-20.2%
biggest cut
184
longest days listed
Sellers move prices quietly. Portals show you today's ask and nothing else, and reset the day counter on every relist. We watch every listing in the corridor daily and keep the history, so you can see who moved, by how much, and how long they have really been waiting. No opinions. Just the record.
Get the full Radar first.
One email every Friday: the complete list of the week's cuts, plus the Deadline Watch, the Off-Market Watch (homes you will not find advertised), and what to watch next week. The history the portals delete. Free.
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Price cut81 days listed🔥 our pick of the week5 bed2 bath2 car189 m²
Listed 10 August with a price. The price came off on 29 September, and from 8 October the ad asked buyers to make an offer. On 26 October it named a price again, $175,000 lower.
flood ✓bushfire ✓crime RISKeasement ✓covenant ✓
The X-Ray: Nothing flagged on the block itself. The suburb runs above the Brisbane typical for recorded crime.
Price cut65 days listed🔥 biggest cut of the week7 bed6 bath3 car783 m²
Listed 26 August with a price, and the price came off a day later. It sat on Contact Agent, then Awaiting Price Guide from 29 September. On 26 October the guide arrived, $505,000 under that first price. The biggest cut of the week.
Listed 31 August and priced on 18 September. A week later the ad read “Contract Crashed”, and from 7 October it went to auction. On 26 October it came back $129,000 lower.
Listed 19 July and priced on 3 August. Cut on 17 August, and the price came off a week later. On 28 October, after two months with no price, it came back $149,000 lower.
flood ✓bushfire ✓crime RISKeasement ✓covenant ✓
The X-Ray: Nothing flagged on the block itself. The suburb runs above the Brisbane typical for recorded crime.
🌱 Beyond the corridor — Moreton Bay and IpswichFive clean cuts just outside our Brisbane count, on the same rules. Subscribers get five; here are three.
72 Maryvale Road, Mango Hill $1,350,000 → Offers over $1,150,000 · 38 days
Four advertisements still naming a date that has already gone. Three are below and the fourth went to subscribers. 105 Kennedy Terrace is 65 days past its date and has been on this list every week since issue 10. 155 Old Logan Village Road is 58 days past its last chance, and 107 Gross Avenue is here for a second week, 11 days past. Of last week’s four, 153 Ironwood Street has left the market.
Coming soon: the live Radar tableEvery cut, every withdrawal, filterable by suburb, any time you like. In the lab now.
34 Snook Street, Clontarf (issue #014): Sold on 26 October, with the sale on our record. Its last ad asked $749,990.
4 Otway Place, Parkinson (issue #011): The ad read “Under Contract” from 26 October. It had asked offers over $1.1M.
24 Fernlea Avenue, Scarborough (issue #012): The ad read “Under Offer” from 26 October. It had asked $2,150,000+.
29 Camelot Street, Tennyson (issue #012): The price came off on 22 October and came back on 28 October at $1,280,000, $125,000 higher than before.
16 Pigeon Street, Inala (issue #014): Cut to $680,000 + offers on 23 October, then raised to $700,000 + offers four days later.
5 Faye Street, Thorneside (issue #007): Back with a price on 26 October, offers over $825,000. It last asked offers over $950,000 in September.
233 Mill Street, Redland Bay (issue #012): Cut again on 27 October, $25,000 off, to $825,000+.
One past pick sold this week, with a dated sale on our record, one went under contract and one under offer. Two moved the other way: 29 Camelot Street came back $125,000 higher, and 16 Pigeon Street cut and then raised its price. Of last week’s twelve, all twelve are still advertised and none has cut again.
The Scorecard
We grade ourselves.
Every Friday we predict next week's market, then grade last week's predictions right here. Every number comes from Property X-Ray's own tracking data.
🎯
✗The Brisbane Cut Count lands between 251 and 307 (within 10% of this week’s 279) (actual: 356)
✓Redland Bay stays in the top 5 cut suburbs (actual: first, on 11 cuts)
Next week's predictions
?The Brisbane Cut Count lands between 320 and 392 (within 10% of this week’s 356)
?Redland Bay stays in the top 5 cut suburbs
Season: Practice 0/2 (4 pending) · Live 17/28 (2 pending)
Two graded this week, both of issue 15’s calls, about the week of 23 to 29 October. The count ran past the top of the band, and Redland Bay held first. The two new ones are about the week that started today, Friday 30 October to Thursday 5 November, and we grade them in issue 17.
🤫 Off-Market Watch
Found in the dark.
🔦
We wait two weeks before we call a home withdrawn, because most that vanish are back within days. Of the homes that left between 9 and 15 October, 46 were withdrawn with no sale. Some of them are below, the rest went to subscribers, and one that came back for less is here too.
last asked BUYERS FROM $1,100,000 · 54 days observed · Advertised for 54 days from 17 August at $1,300,000. Cut four times, on 1, 12 and 15 September and on 8 October, $200,000 in all. Last seen on 10 October, two days after the last cut, and no sale on its record.
last asked Interest From $1,600,000 · 91 days observed · Advertised for 91 days from 14 July. Priced at offers over $1,850,000 on 3 August and cut $250,000 on 19 August. Last seen on 13 October, and no sale on its record.
last asked Offers Over $950,000 · 92 days observed · The boomerang. Advertised for 92 days from 22 June, priced at $1,100,000 from 17 August and offers over $1,050,000 from 15 September. Gone on 22 September, back on 16 October at $1,000,000, and cut again on 26 October.
One email every Friday: the complete list of the week's cuts, plus the Deadline Watch, the Off-Market Watch (homes you will not find advertised), and what to watch next week. The history the portals delete. Free.
No spam, no selling your address, unsubscribe anytime.
How this works (and why you can check everything)
We watch every listing in the corridor daily and keep the price history the portals overwrite. When an asking price moves or a listing sits long, it shows up here.
Facts only. Every number above is from the public listing record as observed that week.
The free X-Ray is the homework. A cheap-looking price sometimes has a reason: flood, what's approved next door, an easement or covenant on the title. Our free report covers the flood and what's nearby for any QLD address, and the full report adds the title checks.
Nothing here is advice. We show the record. What it means for you is your call, or your professional adviser's.